Title: Technologies of short term space weather forecast
Speaker: Anatoly Petrukovich, Space Research Institute, Russian Academy of Science
Monitoring of interplanetary medium in front of Earth is currently the only tool to provide highly reliable quantitative, although short-term (several hours), space weather forecast.
forecast accuracy due to solar wind irregularities;
forecast adequacy due to variability of magnetospheric dynamics and methods of conversion of solar wind measurements into geomagnetic predictions;
practical reliablity of automated Web-based system of forecast;
Possible usage of advanced spacecraft technologies for future missions.
A L1 Sun-Earth libration point, 1.5 mln km from the Earth, is ballistically convenient place for such a monitor, ensures the lead time of a forecast of about 1 hour. To increase the lead time one need to shift closer to the Sun, e.g. with the large area solar sail.
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